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VORCAST

Forecasting elections since 2021

Month: July 2021

Long-Term Analysis, State of the race

It’s the CDU/CSU’s election to lose

Malte Meissner / July 31, 2021

Sometimes the obvious take is the right take, even though it’s boring. Germans don’t like change. The Christian Democrats have been in charge for the last 16 years and they will almost certainly be in charge after September’s election as well. Get used to saying chancellor Armin Laschet.   My model has predicted the CDU/CSU to be the most popular party…

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