State of the race

How Germany will (likely) vote in 2021

I couldn’t have picked a worse year to publish a prediction model for German politics. There’s a global pandemic that continues to produce economic and social contexts that are without historic precedent (and precedent is important in predictions) and it’s the first election in 16 years in which Angela Merkel is not running for chancellor.  These two factors are turning…

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Introduction, Model

Welcome to Vorcast

Welcome to Vorcast, my answer to the gap in Germany’s media landscape when it comes to data journalism.  In this first post, I’ll introduce the blog, why I created it, and what you’ll find here. A lot of the points I bring up will end up being their own individual posts in the future — but I’ll keep things brief…

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